Next week, the second presidential debate will take place in the United States, a decisive event that could end up tipping the balance towards Harris or Trump among millions of independent or conservative voters. switchers and in which the Republican will not stop invoking the issue that obsesses him so much and that he considers essential to ensure his victory: migration.
At rallies and in media interviews, the tycoon persists in his claim that illegal immigrants “are destroying our country.” The other issue that is stirring up his campaign is the economic outlook, although evidence indicates that it is holding steady: the latest inflation rate was 2.9% and in the second quarter of this year the economy grew by 3%.
Two months after super tuesday When the elections to choose who will occupy the White House will take place from January 20, Kamala Harris seeks to convince voters about the results of the measures adopted during her administration to stop the flow of migrants. Among them is the humanitarian program through which two-year work and stay visas are granted to nationals of Venezuela, Cuba, Haiti and Nicaragua who have a sponsor in the United States who can be a family member or close person and who will be responsible for their stay.
The call Words The humanitarian law that does not grant asylum or citizenship has managed to reduce the massive arrival of migrants from the countries included in the agreement to the southern border. Since it came into operation a year and a half ago, 530,000 migrants have been authorized to legally enter the US. Another measure adopted by the Biden Administration was to seal the border if the number of irregular crossings exceeds 2,500 per day for a week; it also limits the possibility of asylum and immediately deports those people who are denied that benefit.
Between October 2023 and last July, the Border Patrol reported 1.9 million arrests, 32% of them of people of Mexican origin. At the end of this month, the fiscal year will also close in the United States and even though they have accumulated 5 consecutive months of decline, it is possible that the number of arrests will begin to stabilize. That is, despite the executive orders and the actions undertaken by North American authorities, migratory flows remain without major changes.
The State Department offered the newly sworn-in Panamanian president to cover the costs of deportation flights for migrants crossing the dense Darien jungle, but that has not inhibited the transit of nationals from Venezuela, Colombia or the Caribbean. And on the northern border of our country, pressure continues in cities like Tijuana, Piedras Negras or Matamoros and now also… Mexico City.
Projections from international organizations predict a slowdown in the growth of the US economy, which will impact on a lower demand for labor and, consequently, on migrant labor. Perhaps this will reduce the arrival of people, but only after the November elections.
Meanwhile, Trump’s tirades about the damage and harm caused by migration may influence voters in the six key states that will define the crucial election, some of them with a strong industrial vocation. As can be seen, the economy-migration binomial shakes up the political board in the neighboring country.
@ClauCorichi